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Speculation, Storytelling, and the Perils of Overconfidence
Emotional attitudes frequently overwhelm objective assessments, leading to risks disguised as opportunities in financial markets.
Jul 28
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Christopher Gerlacher
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Speculation, Storytelling, and the Perils of Overconfidence
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This is How to Write Convincingly
A former New York Times op-ed editor explains how to put a persuasive piece of writing together.
Jun 9
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Christopher Gerlacher
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This is How to Write Convincingly
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How to Tell Which Forecasters to Take Serously
Forecasting is a tricky business, and there are a few ways to tell which people are worth paying attention to and which are noisy pundits.
May 19
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Christopher Gerlacher
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How to Tell Which Forecasters to Take Serously
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How to Predict Unpredictable Events
Expanding your view of what could go wrong will prepare you for new emergencies, but trying to guess the next specific disaster is a fool’s errand.
May 5
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Christopher Gerlacher
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How to Predict Unpredictable Events
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What Makes Even Experts Make Poor Judgments
Noise is the kind of information that diverts people from making their best decisions. It can also be harder to fix than bias.
Apr 7
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Christopher Gerlacher
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What Makes Even Experts Make Poor Judgments
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What the Story of Bitcoin Tells us About Politicians Today
Even after moving into the mainstream, some of the same politics behind Bitcoin's founding motivate its supporters today.
Mar 3
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Christopher Gerlacher
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What the Story of Bitcoin Tells us About Politicians Today
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How to Create Things that Get Stronger from Stress
Some systems can be undone by a single disaster, while others get stronger from stress-testing and adversity.
Feb 17
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Christopher Gerlacher
2
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How to Create Things that Get Stronger from Stress
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Behind the Scenes of Fixing the 2008 Financial Crisis
One of the seminal figures tasked with solving the 2008 financial crisis brings readers behind the scenes of managing the worst financial meltdown in…
Jan 20
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Christopher Gerlacher
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Behind the Scenes of Fixing the 2008 Financial Crisis
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How to Actually Save Money and Other Psych Hacks
Behavioral psychologists are obsessed with finding ways to help us help ourselves, and this book is full of ways to do it.
Dec 23, 2024
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Christopher Gerlacher
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How to Actually Save Money and Other Psych Hacks
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What Billionaires, Celebrities, High Performers Have in Common
Tools for Titans is a long book of interviews in which high achievers talk about how they rose to the top of their fields.
Nov 25, 2024
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Christopher Gerlacher
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What Billionaires, Celebrities, High Performers Have in Common
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Marketers Use These Tricks to Sell Services
In a world crowded with ads, The Invisible Promise offers marketing tricks to make some services stand out more than others.
Oct 28, 2024
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Christopher Gerlacher
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Marketers Use These Tricks to Sell Services
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How the Great Depression Happened
Many people understand that the stock bubble burst, but the details about what caused the initial mania are less well-known.
Sep 30, 2024
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Christopher Gerlacher
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How the Great Depression Happened
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